Delivering this course for the first four months of Trump's second term in the hyperpolarized society is a challenge.
This course will focus on the evolution of the American presidency, including the expansion de facto powers. We will focus on prominent theories from American social scientists, keeping in mind the limitations associated with studying the office.
This course will contain three main themes: (a) the existing social science literature around the Presidency, (b) an election simulation that summarizes key themes about American politics and public opinion, and (c) rigorous undergraduate research that engages and enhances existing social science research.
Below are the key takeaways for each course lesson, including the key learning objective. Individual discussions will vary based on context, course dynamics, and student input.
This study of the American Presidency is extraordinarily difficult due to content, context, (lack of) access, and inconsistencies across actors. As a result, as social scientists we will exist in shades of grey instead of a world of black-and-white. We will challenge theories presented and attempt to improve research with our work.
This discussion asks "What makes a good president good?" (and also, a "bad president bad?") The discussion will be framed to highlight reasonable differences people may have about certain characteristics. At the end of the class, we will apply the metrics identified, concluding that context matters.
We will investigate several of the Federalist Papers and Constitution, seeking to understand how the authors viewed the Presidency. This session should establish the de jure powers of the Presidency, where the office has limited powers associated with enforcing Congress' will and conducting foreign policy.
We will discuss the actual powers exerted by the President of the United States and the executive branch. We will explore an example of implementing a fictitious policy to share the challenges around implementing policies from Congress. In short, Presidents routinely operate outside of their legislated authority.
We will discuss both the official and unofficial mechanics of a Presidential election in the United States. Although the tools used have evolved over time, we will focus on the public opinion and campaign strategy fundamentals have remained the same over time.
We will examine Popkin's The Candidate as a guide for what makes a candidate successful. We will discuss the gap between an ideal candidate and an ideal president. We will also identify the predictable decisions and mistakes candidates in certain positions are likely to make through the campaign cycle.
We will investigate the role political parties play in the electoral process. Although the particular rules evolve over time, neither party's process is designed to be a reflection of the voters, rather it most often is a strategic decision to maximize the likelihood of winning influence.
In this session, we will discuss campaign messaging strategy, specifically what campaigns want to acheive with their advertising. We will reflect on some of the more effective (and ineffective) advertisements, and hypothesize why certain messages are more powerful than others.
Political parties play a critical role in Presidential elections, including a providing basic campaign infrastructure, a formal nominating process, a wide donor base and ballot access - among other advantages. We will investigate the roles how parties nomination processes impact presidential campaign.
Students will participate in an election simulation. This session will focus on students' election strategies, along with a discussion of hypothesized outcomes from the simulation.
We will examine Skowronek's Politics in Time theory that argues that politics is cyclical, and that there are four stages of a political system: reconstruction (creating a new order), articulation (implementing the order's vision), preemption (governing from the counterveiling party), and disjunction (when things fall apart).
Using Skowronek's work as a guide, we will discuss the first two party systems in the United States: Jeffersonian patrician politics that relied on established landed gentry coming to consensus, and Jackson's nationalist populism that focused on expansionism.
Using Skowronek's work as a guide, we will discuss the rise of the Republican party as an implementation to the National System (also known as the American School of economics). We will reconsider the rise of McKinley and Roosevelt as a potential reconstruction of American politics, rather than a simple articulation.
Using Skowronek's work as a guide, we will discuss the Roosevelt and Reagan realignments in the twentieth century. We will then apply Skowronek's theory to the period after the book, including the recent few election cycles.
We will examine Neustadt's argument that the power of the presidency is the power to persuade is the central argument in political science regarding the US Presidency. We will discuss the benefits and potential limits to persuasion as a tool for presidents, along with critique the argument.
We will discuss Kernell's article on how presidents make appeals to the American people is a form of persuading other politicians. By leveraging the "bully pulpit," Presidents are able to shape and leverage public opinion to influence members of Congress and other political actors.
We will examine Tulis' argument about how the Presidency has evolved with the emergence of new communication tools. We will hypothesize the impact of artificial intelligence and social media on American politics based on a larger discussion including Neustadt, Kernell, and Tulis.
We will take an abbreviated look at Schlesinger's argument that the executive office seeks opportunities to grow de facto power. We will examine recent national events to see how Presidents have used crises to expand their authority.
We will examine Wildavsky's argument that the President exists in two worlds at the same time: domestic politics and foriegn politics. We will test the hypothesis if the domestic presidency and international presidency are separate, influence each other, and potential impacts of that influence.
We will discuss outcomes from the in-class simulation.
We will examine how professionals within bureaucracy impact how Presidents implement policies. We will focus on parts of James Q. Wilson's masterpiece, and we will apply principles from that work on major policy initiatives under the last several presidents, including George W Bush, Obama, Trump, and Biden.
We will examine how executive orders have evolved over time from guidance and interpretation memos to policy documents. In particular, we will investigate how gridlock and political expediency have transformed executive orders into key policymaking tool in recent decades.
We will discuss the theory presented by Moe about how the executive has been able to grow over time. In general, Presidents are often incentivized to expand their institutional power, while Congress, the Courts, and state governments do not have the capacity to stop this expansion.
We will investigate and discuss instances of Presidents using violent force (or the threat of violent force) to implement policy in the United States. We will examine these decisions in light of the larger expansion of the executive, legitimacy, and the political theory behind the Constitution.
We will consider the question of legitimacy in the face of a growing executive branch. The primary question will be, how does the expansion of executive powers and the Presidency impact the legitimacy of a governing republic?
We will apply the key takeaways from this course to key policy decisions made by the current president's first four months in office.
Students will present their research during these sessions.
We will revisit the original discussion, reflecting on "What makes a good president good?" (and also, a "bad president bad?") Focus will be on what opinions have been added, changed, or removed throughout the class.
The goal of the simulation is to expose students to election strategy, including candidate recruitment, advertising and messaging strategy, basic research hypothesis formation, public opinion, and voter behavior.
During this semester, we will conduct a campaign simulation. During this simulation, students will be asked to (a) develop a fictitious candidate biography, (b) work with classmates to nominate a fictitious candidate, (c) develop campaign advertisements for your nominee, (d) work with classmates to select advertisements for your nominee, and (e) develop a hypothesis based on advertisements about which types of voters are most likely to support which nominee.
We will survey people online about their support for candidates based on your advertisements and bios. Your participation will remain anonymous, but your work may be seen by people outside of our class.
In this exercise, students will create a fictitious candidate for our campaign simulation. A bio will have two parts: (a) a short narrative telling your candidates “story” and (b) a resume that includes education, work history, and achievements by your fictitious candidate.
The Candidate Bio will be assessed based on how well the narrative explains why a candidate should be elected based on their resume.
Students will be divided into "parties." Parties will develop their own method for selecting a Presidential and Vice Presidential candidate out of the Candidate Bios submitted by students in their party.
The candidates selected by each party will be used in the election simulation.
In this exercise, students will create at least one advertisement on behalf of one nominee for our campaign simulation. Students will need to submit two things: (1) a short narrative about what message you are trying to convey and to which voters you want to reach and (2) the advertisement itself. An advertisement may include a short video (no longer than 30 seconds), a short audio clip (no longer than 30 seconds), or an image.
Students may create more than one advertisement, but only one will be assessed for credit.
The Campaign Advertisement will be assessed based on how well the narrative explains why you are running that advertisement and how well it matches the advertisement product.
Each party will develop and decide which advertisements they intend to run during the election simulation. Each party will select one advertisement at a time, giving the other side a chance to respond to the advertisement with a future selection.
Each party will be allowed to select up to three advertisements.
The advertisements selected by each party will be used in the election simulation.
In this exercise, students will make a prediction about voter behavior based on the nominee bios and advertisements. You will need to submit two things: (a) a hypothesis about which voters will be more likely to support a nominee and (b) a narrative explaining your reasoning.
The Simulation Prediction will be assessed based on how well the narrative explains the logic behind your hypothesis. A strong narrative will reference specifics about each nominee and may cite specific parts of a bio or advertisement.
The instructor will solicit feedback from various sources online.
Respondents to the survey will provide basic demographic data and other information related to the simulation predictions established by students. Respondents will then see the advertisements from the students and will have access to candidate bios. From there, respondents will share for whom they would vote in the fictitious election.
We will cover the results of the election simulation project. Based on the information available collected, we will begin to analyze the results, voting behavior, and break down why one side won.
Because of the nature of simulations involving public feedback, students may uncover new questions and not have enough evidence for complete answers. This may feel uncomfortable, but mirrors the reality of most social science research.
The goal of the term paper is to demonstrate advanced understanding about the Presidency by applying theories to evidence.
A stretch goal for this course is student participation in undergraduate symposiums or professional research conferences. Term papers for this course are expected to be of similar quality to peers' work at these events.
Throughout the course, students will have the opportunity to complete field projects. Field Projects are short papers that apply different political science theories to situations. You will have a menu of several field assignments to complete, each with their own specific requirements and assessment criteria.
Field projects may be used as a foundation for larger projects, including the term paper.
Feedback is critical for improving writing. As a result, the instructor will provide feedback on early drafts submitted by a deadline. While not required, it is strongly advised to submit a working draft for free feedback.
Feedback is critical for improving writing. As a result, students will present the findings from their term paper to their peers in class. Students are asked to provide constructive criticism to help improve each others' work.
The Term Paper will be assessed based on (1) the presence of a persuasive thesis statement, (2) the examination of alternative theories, (3) the organization of the paper around the thesis statement, (4) the presence of relevant, observable, cited facts, and (5) analysis and explanation of how those relevant, observable, and cited facts support the persuasive thesis.
As an alternative to taking a final examination, students may elect to rewrite their term-paper.
In this scenario, credit will be assessed based on how well students responded to feedback.
Federalist 10, 51, 69, 70
Publius. Public Domain.
Skowronek, Stephen. 1997. The Politics Presidents Make.
Neustadt, Richard. 1991. Presidential Power and the Modern Presidency.
Kernell, Samuel. 1997. Going Public.
Tulis, Jeffrey. 2016. The Rhetorical Presidency.
Wildavsky, Aaron. 1966. "The Two Presidencies"
Wilson, James Q. 1991. Bureaucracy.
Moe, Terry and William Howell. 1999. "Unilateral Action and Presidential Power."
Schlesinger, Arthur M. 1973. The Rhetorical Imperial Presidency.
Key, Vladimir. 1955. "Theory of Critical Elections."
Pfiffner, James P. 2011. The Modern Presidency
Cohen, Jeffrey. 2010. Going Local.